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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 35.85% | 27.29% | 36.86% |
| Both teams to score 50% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.49% | 55.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.31% | 76.69% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% | 29.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% | 65.63% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% | 28.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% | 64.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.88% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.86% |