League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK

Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
1 - 2
Sunderland

Lloyd (25' pen.)
Kelman (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

O'Brien (45+3'), Flanagan (54')
Cirkin (43'), Stewart (84')
Embleton (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Gillingham and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Sunderland
19.27%	22.72%	58.02%

Both teams to score 51.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.47%

47.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.26%

69.75%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.27%

38.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.53%

75.47%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91%

16.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.51%

45.5%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 19.27%

Sunderland 58.01%

Draw 22.72%

Gillingham	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 5.91% 2-1 @ 5.12% 2-0 @ 2.8% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.27%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 6.23% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 11.38% 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-4 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 2.74% 2-4 @ 1.3% 0-5 @ 1.06% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.01%