EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Lincoln1 - 2Sunderland
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Sunderland.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 31.14% | 24.76% | 44.09% |
| Both teams to score 57.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% | 45.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% | 68.22% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% | 27.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% | 63.47% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% | 20.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.41% | 53.59% |
| Score Analysis |
Lincoln City 31.14%
Sunderland 44.09%
Draw 24.76%
| Lincoln City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% 1-0 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.14% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-1 @ 9.12% 0-2 @ 7.14% 1-3 @ 4.76% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.09% |
How you voted: Lincoln vs Sunderland
Lincoln City
37.5%Draw
21.9%Sunderland
40.6%32


