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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 21.69% | 23.31% | 54.99% |
| Both teams to score 53.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% | 46.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% | 69.19% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% | 35.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% | 72.68% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.06% | 16.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% | 47.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 6.23% 2-1 @ 5.67% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.59% 1-3 @ 5.81% 0-3 @ 5.67% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.52% 2-4 @ 1.32% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 54.99% |