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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | MK Dons |
| 38.23% | 27.63% | 34.14% |
| Both teams to score 48.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.02% | 56.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.12% | 77.88% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% | 28.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% | 64.75% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% | 31.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% | 67.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 2.91% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.13% |