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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 21.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bolton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 53.25% | 25.31% | 21.44% |
| Both teams to score 46.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% | 55.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% | 76.36% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% | 20.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.68% | 53.32% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% | 40.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.64% | 77.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 13.29% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.39% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.23% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.58% 1-2 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.24% Total : 21.44% |