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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 43.37% | 26.46% | 30.17% |
| Both teams to score 51.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% | 53.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% | 74.99% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% | 24.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% | 58.92% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% | 32.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% | 68.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.58% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.17% |