Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Gillingham and Cheltenham Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 35.64% | 26.16% | 38.2% |
| Both teams to score 53.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.09% | 50.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.21% | 72.78% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% | 27.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% | 62.99% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% | 26.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% | 61.05% |
| Score Analysis |
Gillingham 35.64%
Cheltenham Town 38.2%
Draw 26.15%
| Gillingham | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.2% |


