League One

League One | Gameweek 14

Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 4
Sunderland

Murphy (75')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Thomas (25' og.), Stewart (32', 55'), Dajaku (73')
Winchester (51'), Cirkin (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Sunderland
20.31%	22.56%	57.13%

Both teams to score 53.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53%

45.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2%

67.8%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.56%

36.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.77%

73.23%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32%

15.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.27%

44.73%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 20.31%

Sunderland 57.12%

Draw 22.56%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 5.77% 2-1 @ 5.39% 2-0 @ 2.91% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.68% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.31%	1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 5.71% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.56%	0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 9.81% 1-3 @ 6.12% 0-3 @ 6.06% 2-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 2.83% 0-4 @ 2.81% 2-4 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.41% Total : 57.12%

How you voted: Crewe vs Sunderland

Crewe Alexandra

10.3%

Draw

10.3%

Sunderland

79.5%