FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Replays

Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
1 - 0
Gillingham

Pollock (11')
Joseph (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tucker (54'), O'Keefe (80'), Ehmer (81')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Cheltenham Town and Gillingham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Gillingham
45.44%	25.64%	28.92%

Both teams to score 52.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.29%

50.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.39%

72.61%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.71%

22.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.25%

55.75%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15%

31.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71%

68.29%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 45.43%

Gillingham 28.92%

Draw 25.64%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.43%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.92%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Gillingham

Cheltenham Town

50.0%

Draw

39.3%

Gillingham

10.7%

FA Cup

Cheltenham1 - 0Gillingham

Data Analysis

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Gillingham

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Cheltenham
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