League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 2
Crewe

Rudoni (24'), Palmer (35', 44' pen.)
Heneghan (81'), Assal (90+2')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Long (11'), Porter (89')
Murphy (44'), Sass-Davies (79'), Williams (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
46.03%	25.98%	27.99%

Both teams to score 51.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.39%

52.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.74%

74.26%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18%

22.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.47%

56.54%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44%

33.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8%

70.2%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 46.03%

Crewe Alexandra 27.99%

Draw 25.98%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 46.03%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.99%