League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon3 - 2Crewe
We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Crewe Alexandra
The mood in the Crewe camp will certainly be lifted by Saturday's win, and we see them outfighting the hosts on Tuesday to earn another much-needed win. Wimbledon will be wounded by their poor run of form, and we would not be surprised to see them fall to another league defeat given their slump in confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 46.03% | 25.98% | 27.99% |
| Both teams to score 51.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
