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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 31.76% | 26.42% | 41.82% |
| Both teams to score 51.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% | 52.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% | 74.35% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% | 30.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% | 67.14% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% | 24.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% | 59.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 2.01% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.76% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.82% |