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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 27.86% | 25.29% | 46.85% |
| Both teams to score 53.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.11% | 49.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.12% | 71.88% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% | 32.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% | 68.72% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% | 21.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% | 54.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 8.21% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.84% |