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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
| 40.12% | 26.4% | 33.48% |
| Both teams to score 52.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% | 52.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% | 73.91% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% | 25.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% | 60.45% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% | 29.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% | 65.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.48% |