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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 34.49% | 26.87% | 38.64% |
| Both teams to score 51.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.06% | 53.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% | 75.39% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% | 29.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% | 65.72% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% | 27.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.49% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.63% |