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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 40% | 27.87% | 32.13% |
| Both teams to score 47.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% | 58.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.17% | 78.83% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% | 28.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% | 64.2% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% | 33.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% | 70.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.09% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.13% |