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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 53.19% | 24.86% | 21.95% |
| Both teams to score 48.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% | 52.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% | 74.53% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% | 19.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% | 51.97% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.97% | 39.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.25% | 75.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 5.45% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.76% Total : 53.19% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.95% |