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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Morecambe |
| 57.42% | 23.96% | 18.62% |
| Both teams to score 46.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.63% | 53.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.09% | 74.9% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% | 18.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% | 49.56% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.14% | 42.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.83% | 79.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 5.4% 4-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 0.97% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.41% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.62% |