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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 30.87% | 26.58% | 42.56% |
| Both teams to score 51.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.35% | 53.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% | 75.15% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% | 68.42% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% | 24.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% | 59.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 11.07% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.55% |