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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | MK Dons |
| 32.67% | 25.47% | 41.86% |
| Both teams to score 55.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% | 48.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% | 70.6% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% | 28.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% | 63.82% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% | 23.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% | 56.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 7.65% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.67% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.86% |