League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 2, 2022 at 3pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
4 - 3
Doncaster

Stockton (52', 74'), Obika (83'), Diagouraga (86')
Ayunga (86')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Barlow (7'), Gardner (26'), Olowu (29')
Hiwula (64'), Olowu (84')

The Match

Preview

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
49.18%	28.35%	22.47%

Both teams to score 40.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.73%

64.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.63%

83.37%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.5%

26.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.31%

61.69%

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.97%

45.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.04%

80.96%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 49.17%

Doncaster Rovers 22.47%

Draw 28.34%

Morecambe	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 15.84% 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-1 @ 3.72% 4-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.48% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.78% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 11.93% 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 9.52% 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-2 @ 3.8% 1-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.47%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Doncaster

Morecambe

68.8%

Draw

12.5%

Doncaster Rovers

18.8%