Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 81.39%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 7.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.13%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.