Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.