FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
4 - 1
Shrewsbury

Gordon (34'), Fabinho (44' pen., 90+3'), Firmino (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Udoh (27')
Pennington (13'), Ebanks-Landell (80'), Daniels (89')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 78.16%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 7.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
78.16%	14.3%	7.53%

Both teams to score 44.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.43%

37.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.19%

59.81%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.22%

7.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.35%

27.65%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.67%

51.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.44%

85.56%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 78.14%

Shrewsbury Town 7.53%

Draw 14.3%

Liverpool	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 13.02% 3-0 @ 11.08% 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-0 @ 7.08% 4-1 @ 4.72% 5-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.57% 6-0 @ 1.54% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.34% Total : 78.14%	1-1 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.99% 2-2 @ 2.9% Other @ 0.61% Total : 14.3%	0-1 @ 2.66% 1-2 @ 2.27% Other @ 2.6% Total : 7.53%