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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 51.2% | 26.28% | 22.52% |
| Both teams to score 45.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.63% | 78.37% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% | 22.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.78% | 56.21% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% | 41.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% | 77.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.81% 2-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.19% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.52% |