FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 2
Shrewsbury

Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Carlisle United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shrewsbury Town.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
32.53%	27.45%	40.02%

Both teams to score 49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.45%

56.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47%

77.53%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72%

32.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22%

68.78%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35%

27.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.81%

63.19%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 32.53%

Shrewsbury Town 40.02%

Draw 27.44%

Carlisle United	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 7.34% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.53%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.02%