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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 40.92% | 26.99% | 32.09% |
| Both teams to score 50.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.09% | 54.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.81% | 76.19% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% | 26.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% | 61.54% |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% | 31.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% | 68.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.09% |