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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 27.32% | 25.6% | 47.08% |
| Both teams to score 51.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% | 51.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.73% | 73.27% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% | 33.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% | 70.11% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% | 21.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.38% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.08% |