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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 37% | 27.38% | 35.62% |
| Both teams to score 49.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.11% | 55.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23% | 77% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% | 29.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% | 65% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% | 29.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.97% | 66.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.99% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.62% |