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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 38.82% | 26.39% | 34.79% |
| Both teams to score 52.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.03% | 51.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.29% | 73.7% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% | 26.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.74% | 61.25% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% | 28.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% | 64.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.81% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.79% |