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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 50% | 25.86% | 24.14% |
| Both teams to score 48.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% | 54.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% | 76.05% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% | 21.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% | 37.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.29% | 74.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% 2-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.08% Total : 49.99% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.06% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.62% Total : 24.14% |