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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 39.61% | 27.82% | 32.57% |
| Both teams to score 47.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.08% | 57.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.38% | 78.62% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% | 28.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% | 64.31% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% | 32.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% | 69.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.56% |