FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 7, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Arden Garages Stadium

Stratford Town
1 - 5
Shrewsbury

Grocutt (5')
Fry (45'), Isaac (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bowman (25', 54'), Leahy (57'), Bennett (62'), Bloxham (90+2')
Ebanks-Landell (82')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Stratford Town and Shrewsbury Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Stratford Town had a probability of 11.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Stratford Town win it was 2-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Stratford Town	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
11.36%	16.07%	72.56%

Both teams to score 54.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.8%

33.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.04%

54.96%

Stratford Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.69%

40.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.06%

76.94%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.05%

7.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.92%

28.08%

Score Analysis

Stratford Town 11.36%

Shrewsbury Town 72.56%

Draw 16.07%

Stratford Town	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-1 @ 3.35% 1-0 @ 2.91% 2-0 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 1.28% 3-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.48% Total : 11.36%	1-1 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.24% 0-0 @ 3.21% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.07%	0-2 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 8.67% 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-3 @ 7.88% 0-4 @ 5.49% 1-4 @ 4.99% 2-3 @ 3.58% 0-5 @ 2.78% 1-5 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 2.27% 0-6 @ 1.17% 2-5 @ 1.15% 1-6 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.26% Total : 72.56%