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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 42.32% | 26.29% | 31.4% |
| Both teams to score 52.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% | 52.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% | 74% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% | 24.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% | 58.94% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% | 30.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.81% | 67.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.63% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.4% |