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Diogo Jota
21'
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Mohamed Salah
25'
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Jordan Henderson
70'
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Trent Alexander-Arnold
87'
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Jonjo Shelvey
7'
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Joelinton
45'+2'
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Ryan Fraser
55'
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Isaac Hayden
86'
Liverpool vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 82.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 5.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.16%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result
Liverpool
82.65%
Draw
11.84%
Newcastle United
5.51%
Both Teams to Score:
42.57%
Goals
Over 2.5
66.04%
Under 2.5
33.96%
Over 3.5
44.17%
Under 3.5
55.83%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
93.9%
Under 0.5
6.1%
Over 1.5
76.84%
Under 1.5
23.16%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
45.33%
Under 0.5
54.67%
Over 1.5
12.32%
Under 1.5
87.68%
Score analysis
Liverpool
82.63%
Draw
11.84%
Newcastle United
5.51%
Liverpool
2-0
@
13.04%
3-0 @ 12.16%
1-0 @ 9.33%
4-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 7.35%
4-1 @ 5.14%
5-0 @ 4.76%
5-1 @ 2.88%
6-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.55%
6-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 82.63%
3-0 @ 12.16%
1-0 @ 9.33%
4-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 7.35%
4-1 @ 5.14%
5-0 @ 4.76%
5-1 @ 2.88%
6-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.55%
6-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 82.63%
Draw
1-1
@
5.63%
0-0 @ 3.33%
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 11.84%
0-0 @ 3.33%
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 11.84%
Newcastle United
0-1
@
2.01%
1-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 5.51%
1-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 5.51%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
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Team News
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