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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
St James' Park
Norwich logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Norwich

Wilson (61' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pukki (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawNorwich City
37.54%27.7%34.76%
Both teams to score 48.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82%57.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96%78.04%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61%29.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63%65.37%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88%31.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55%67.45%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 37.53%
    Norwich City 34.75%
    Draw 27.7%
Newcastle UnitedDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.86%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 37.53%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.15%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Norwich

Newcastle United
54.5%
Draw
25.2%
Norwich City
20.3%
433