Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Norwich City |
| 37.54% | 27.7% | 34.76% |
| Both teams to score 48.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.82% | 57.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.96% | 78.04% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% | 29.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% | 65.37% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% | 31.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% | 67.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.86% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.15% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.75% |