Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 2, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
2 - 2
Liverpool

Kovacic (42'), Pulisic (45+1')
Pulisic (17')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Mane (9'), Salah (26')
Mane (1'), Konate (83')

Reaction

Chelsea defender Cesar Azpilicueta receives treatment after an elbow from Liverpool winger Sadio Mane on January 2, 2022.

Should Sadio Mane have been sent off against Chelsea?

The Sports Mole team discuss whether Liverpool forward Sadio Mane should have been sent off for his clash with Chelsea's Cesar Azpilicueta.

Jan 3, 15:57

Dermot Gallagher: 'Yellow for Liverpool's Sadio Mane versus Chelsea was right'

Former Premier League referee Dermot Gallagher says that only handing a yellow card to Liverpool's Sadio Mane for a stray arm on Cesar Azpilicueta was the right decision.

Jan 3, 11:50

Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk celebrates scoring their fourth goal against Southampton in the Premier League on November 27, 2021

Virgil Van Dijk: 'Title is Manchester City's to lose'

Liverpool centre-back Virgil Van Dijk admits that the Premier League title is Manchester City's to lose, after the Reds drop to 11 points behind the league leaders.

Jan 2, 23:08

Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel: 'Sadio Mane should have received early red card'

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel criticises the decision to not hand Liverpool winger Sadio Mane a first-minute red card during the 2-2 draw between the two clubs.

Jan 2, 19:19

Chelsea's Mateo Kovacic scores their first goal on January 2, 2022

Watch: Chelsea's Mateo Kovacic scores goal of the season contender against Liverpool

Chelsea midfielder Mateo Kovacic lights up a thrilling first half at Stamford Bridge by scoring a stunning volley against Liverpool.

Jan 2, 17:24

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Liverpool
33.78%	25.43%	40.79%

Both teams to score 55.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52%

47.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83%

70.16%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.78%

27.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.36%

62.64%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66%

23.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.7%

57.3%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 33.78%

Liverpool 40.79%

Draw 25.42%

Chelsea	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 3% Total : 33.78%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.35% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 4.24% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.79%