Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Liverpool

Edouard (55')
Gallagher (49'), Hughes (61'), Schlupp (82'), Ward (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

van Dijk (8'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (32'), Fabinho (89' pen.)
Firmino (81')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 2-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Liverpool
16.9%	19.9%	63.2%

Both teams to score 56.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.18%

38.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.87%

61.13%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76%

36.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97%

73.02%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.3%

11.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.2%

36.8%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 16.9%

Liverpool 63.2%

Draw 19.9%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 4.69% 1-0 @ 4.3% 2-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.44% Total : 16.9%	1-1 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 5.03% 0-0 @ 4.24% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.9%	1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.76% 0-1 @ 9.1% 1-3 @ 7.09% 0-3 @ 6.98% 1-4 @ 3.8% 0-4 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.6% 2-4 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.63% 0-5 @ 1.61% Other @ 4.06% Total : 63.2%