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The Match

Team News

Granit Xhaka makes the Arsenal starting lineup for Thursday's EFL Cup semi-final first leg with Liverpool at Anfield, but Martin Odegaard is missing.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup semi-final first leg against Liverpool.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final first leg with Liverpool.

We said: Liverpool 2-1 Arsenal

Arsenal's complete lack of a midfield presence is there to be exposed by a refreshed Liverpool outfit this week, although the Reds hardly have their first-choice XI available either. The return of several big-hitters should at least help the Gunners post one shot on target at Anfield, but we cannot look past Klopp's side to take a first-leg advantage into next week's second leg at the Emirates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for an Arsenal win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
56.35%22.28%21.37%
Both teams to score 56.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2%42.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79%65.2%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51%43.48%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12%33.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45%70.55%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 56.35%
    Arsenal 21.37%
    Draw 22.28%
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-0 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 6.26%
3-0 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-0 @ 2.74%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 5.36%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.28%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-1 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 21.37%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Arsenal

Liverpool
66.4%
Draw
11.7%
Arsenal
21.9%
530
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Liverpool
4-0
Arsenal
Mane (39'), Jota (52'), Salah (73'), Minamino (77')
Klopp (33'), Mane (44'), Fabinho (70')

Arteta (33')
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
Arsenal
0-3
Liverpool

Magalhaes (90+1')
Jota (64', 82'), Salah (68')
Jota (73')
Oct 1, 2020 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Liverpool
0-0
Arsenal
Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties
Minamino (15'), Wilson (75')
Xhaka (51'), Soares (90+2')
Sep 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 3
Liverpool
3-1
Arsenal
Mane (28'), Robertson (34'), Jota (88')
Mane (3'), Alexander-Arnold (49')
Lacazette (25')
Bellerin (68'), Ceballos (72')
Aug 29, 2020 4.30pm
Final
Arsenal
1-1
Liverpool
Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties
Minamino (73')
Milner (57')
Build-up
Arsenal's Martin Odegaard pictured on December 18
Arsenal's Martin Odegaard to miss Liverpool clash?
Arsenal playmaker Martin Odegaard is unavailable for Thursday's EFL Cup semi-final first leg with Liverpool, according to a report.
Jan 13, 10:40
Liverpool's Trent Alexander-Arnold celebrates scoring their third goal on December 16, 2021
Jurgen Klopp issues Liverpool injury update ahead of Arsenal clash
Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp offers a positive update on Alisson Becker and Trent Alexander-Arnold ahead of Thursday's EFL Cup semi-final first leg with Arsenal.
Jan 12, 13:19
Diogo Jota celebrates scoring for Liverpool against Brentford in the Premier League on September 25, 2021
Diogo Jota's record vs. Arsenal
Ahead of Liverpool's EFL Cup semi-final first leg with Arsenal, Sports Mole takes a look at Diogo Jota's record against the Gunners.
Jan 11, 17:51
Arsenal players look dejected after Lewis Grabban scores for Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup on January 9, 2022
How Arsenal could line up against Liverpool
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup semi-final first leg against Liverpool.
Jan 11, 10:33
Liverpool's Roberto Firmino celebrates scoring their third goal with Virgil van Dijk and Andrew Robertson on January 9, 2022
How Liverpool could line up against Arsenal
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Thursday's EFL Cup semi-final first leg against Arsenal.
Jan 11, 10:25
Arsenal's Emile Smith Rowe during the warm up before the match, December 1, 2021
Arsenal team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Liverpool
Sports Mole rounds up Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final first leg with Liverpool.
Jan 10, 13:36
Liverpool's Thiago Alcantara celebrates after the match, December 4, 2021
Liverpool team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Arsenal
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final first leg with Arsenal.
Jan 10, 13:08
Arsenal's Emile Smith Rowe during the warm up before the match, December 1, 2021
Arsenal trio to miss Liverpool EFL Cup clash?
Arsenal are worried about the fitness of Emile Smith Rowe, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Granit Xhaka ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final with Liverpool.
Jan 10, 00:02
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
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49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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