Nottingham Forest logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 6, 2022 at 4pm UK
The City Ground
Leicester logo

Nott'm Forest
4 - 1
Leicester

Zinckernagel (23'), Johnson (24'), Worrall (32'), Spence (61')
Garner (65')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Iheanacho (40')
Ndidi (59'), Maddison (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawLeicester City
32.03%24.94%43.04%
Both teams to score 56.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66%46.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37%68.63%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49%27.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99%63.02%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45%21.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38%54.63%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 32.03%
    Leicester City 43.04%
    Draw 24.94%
Nottingham ForestDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 7.65%
2-1 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 32.03%
1-1 @ 11.74%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.04%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Leicester

Nottingham Forest
19.4%
Draw
17.1%
Leicester City
63.6%
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