Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.