Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.