Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Leeds0 - 3Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Brentford | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
We said: Leeds United 1-2 Aston Villa
Leeds already look more assured defensively under Marsch and will possess a greater goal threat with Bamford back and raring to go, which spells optimism for the American coach ahead of his first home game. However, Villa produced a near-perfect performance against a previously in-form Southampton side and will be in no mood to halt their hot streak, so we still expect Gerrard's men to get over the line. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 33.65% | 26.14% | 40.22% |
| Both teams to score 53.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
