Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
0 - 3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Burnley	38	-19	35
19	Watford	38	-43	23
20	Norwich City	38	-61	22

Leeds United

Last Six:

Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Everton	38	-23	39
17	Leeds United	38	-37	38
18	Burnley	38	-19	35

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Watford had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Leeds United
35.41%	25.71%	38.87%

Both teams to score 55.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.08%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02%

61.98%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22%

24.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.64%

59.35%

Score Analysis

Watford 35.41%

Leeds United 38.87%

Draw 25.71%

Watford	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.41%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.87%