Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Crystal Palace |
29.94% | 29.11% | 40.94% |
Both teams to score 43.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.02% | 62.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.55% | 82.45% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.39% | 37.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.61% | 74.39% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% | 30.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% | 66.41% |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Crystal Palace |
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 6.5% 2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 2.12% 3-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.72% Total : 29.94% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.1% | 0-1 @ 13.6% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-3 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 0.97% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.38% Total : 40.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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