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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Feb 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Crystal Palace logo

Watford
1 - 4
Crystal Palace

Sissoko (18')
Samir (40'), Femenia (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mateta (15'), Gallagher (42'), Zaha (85', 90')
Kouyate (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Watford and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Watford 1-1 Crystal Palace

Watford have not given their fans much to cheer about on their own turf recently but may sense an opportunity to aid their bid for survival against a wholly inconsistent Palace side. Vieira's men possess the attacking talent capable of breaching the Hornets' staunch backline, though, and we think this game has a draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawCrystal Palace
29.94%29.11%40.94%
Both teams to score 43.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.02%62.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.55%82.45%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.39%37.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61%74.39%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.75%30.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.58%66.41%
Score Analysis
    Watford 29.94%
    Crystal Palace 40.94%
    Draw 29.1%
WatfordDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 29.94%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.1%
0-1 @ 13.6%
0-2 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-3 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 0.97%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 40.94%

How you voted: Watford vs Crystal Palace

Watford
35.1%
Draw
29.3%
Crystal Palace
35.6%
208
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
1-0
Crystal Palace
Fletcher (86')
Camilo Hernandez (44'), Sierralta (61'), Rose (90+4')

Gallagher (54')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Crystal Palace
3-1
Watford
Zaha (29', 54'), Benteke (87')
Deeney (83')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Mar 16, 2019 12.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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