Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.