Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 3-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.23%).