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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 36.53% | 25.85% | 37.62% |
| Both teams to score 54.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% | 49.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% | 71.56% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% | 61.46% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% | 25.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% | 60.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.26% Total : 36.53% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.62% |