Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.