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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 37.24% | 26.1% | 36.66% |
| Both teams to score 53.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% | 50.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% | 72.53% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% | 26.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% | 61.59% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% | 26.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% | 62.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.15% Total : 36.66% |